Population estimates

The Research Team produces annual population estimates for parishes, wards and settlements in the administrative area of Cambridgeshire (which, since 1st April 1998, no longer includes Peterborough).

The latest available data set is the mid-2013 population estimates.

The population estimates are provided at three different geographical areas:

  • district
  • ward
  • parish

Users are reminded that year-on-year variations in population estimates, particularly for smaller parishes and settlements, may not reflect real changes, but may rather be the result of technical adjustments, rounding effects, or random variations in the coverage of administrative sources such as electoral registers.

Definition

The total population figures are estimates of the resident population. The definition of the resident population used for our mid year estimates is the same as that used in the 2011 Census as all students (including school boarders) are counted as resident at their term time address. The population estimates include persons living in communal establishments as well as those in private households.The population estimates are only as reliable as the sources and methods used to produce them.Certain parishes and wards, particularly those with large numbers of armed forces (marked AF on the tables) or students, are more difficult to estimate in terms of population size and figures are also likely to fluctuate more.

Method

The population estimate is rolled forward one year at a time, taking the change in population from one year to the next and adding it to the last estimate. The sources used to compile these annual change figures cover virtually the whole population age range: electoral 3 registers for the adult population (including European electors from 1995 onwards); school rolls for the school aged population and health service statistics on births. Additional sources are used to monitor groups for which coverage is otherwise incomplete or uncertain. These include our own surveys for the population associated with local armed forces bases, higher education establishments, independent schools and other institutions such as nursing and residential homes and prisons.

 

Publications