Scenario Projections for the Cambridgeshire Local Authorities and Peterborough UA

In March 2012, Cambridge Econometrics and SQW Ltd were commissioned by the local authorities of Cambridgeshire and Peterborough UA to undertake a study to update the economic scenario projections developed (in 2009) for the Cambridgeshire Development Study. The final report from the new study - Scenario Projections for the Cambridgeshire Local Authorities and Peterborough UA - was published in July 2012, and revised in November 2012.

 Front page of Scenario Projections for the Cambridgeshire Local Authorities and Peterborough UA

The scenarios developed for the study, using Cambridge Econometrics’ Local Economy Forecasting Model (LEFM) were: a Baseline Scenario, effectively assuming that historical trends compared with the wider UK economy seen over the past 15 years continue into the future; an Alternative Demography Scenario; a High Growth Scenario; and a Low Growth Scenario. The final report, which discusses how each of the scenarios was developed and presents the resulting employment projections, and compares the Baseline Scenario with the Spring 2012 Baseline from the East of England Forecasting Model, is available from the link below.

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Scenario Projections for the Cambridgeshire Local Authorities and Peterborough UA (1.45 MB)